Destined for war : can America and China escape Thucydides's trap? / Graham Allison.

Allison, Graham T.
Bib ID
vtls002116005
出版項
Boston : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2017.
稽核項
xx, 364 pages ; 24 cm
預約人數:1
全部評等: 0
條碼 館藏地 索書號 冊次 複本 電子資源 館藏狀態  
00002824486
總館8樓書庫
JZ 6385.A45 2017
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已外借至 2017-11-12到期
 
 
 
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$a Includes bibliographical references (pages 289-348) and index.
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$a Part one. The rise of China -- "The biggest player in the history of the world" -- Part two. Lessons from history -- Athens vs. Sparta -- Five hundred years -- Britain vs. Germany -- Part three. A gathering storm -- Imagine China were just like us -- What Xi's China wants -- Clash of civilizations -- From here to war -- Part four. Why war is not inevitable -- Twelve clues for peace -- Where do we go from here? -- Appendix 1. Thucydides's Trap case file -- Appendix 2. Seven straw men.
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$a "CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydides's Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: "It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable." Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries "great again," the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides's Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past -- and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today"-- $c Provided by publisher.
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標題
摘要
"CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydides's Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: "It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable." Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries "great again," the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides's Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past -- and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today"--
內容註
Part one. The rise of China -- "The biggest player in the history of the world" -- Part two. Lessons from history -- Athens vs. Sparta -- Five hundred years -- Britain vs. Germany -- Part three. A gathering storm -- Imagine China were just like us -- What Xi's China wants -- Clash of civilizations -- From here to war -- Part four. Why war is not inevitable -- Twelve clues for peace -- Where do we go from here? -- Appendix 1. Thucydides's Trap case file -- Appendix 2. Seven straw men.
附註
Includes bibliographical references (pages 289-348) and index.
ISBN/ISSN
9780544935273 US$28
0544935276